February 2007


I would like to point to this article by Juan Cole.  Where he essentially restates all the assumptions that I outline in my last post that got so many negative comments. Also he talks about boycotting gas stations. In that vein check out my bike blog and my flickr page which have just been updated finally.

In the late 80’s and especially in the 90’s the middle east was relatively stable. There were forces in place that kept each other in check. This allowed countries like china, russia, and india to begin to strike deals with and invest with countries in the region. China and india need raw materials and energy to fuel their booming economy’s. Russia has raw materials and energy but since the U.S. controls shipping they have to transport their exports across the middle east and central asia. In all of these bilateral trade agreements and gas and oil pipeline deals amerika was getting cut out. Amerika’s strength lies in it’s air and sea power that are like an insurance policy on exported goods, but if the area is secure the U.S.’s military might is unnecessary.

Who will want to prop up the U.S.’s economy by buying their debt when peoples in india and china can fill the consumer gap?

So on 11.09.01 some religious fanatics hijacked planes like many have done in the past but in this case they flew the planes into some big buildings in a big city in amerika. The hijackers were mostly from Saudia Arabia and belonged to a fringe neo-conservative group.

The response from amerika’s neo-conservatives was to invade afganastan (a country) and remove the taliban from power. Then invade Iraq (another country) and removed saddam and the bath party from power. And of course don’t forget the largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid goes to israel who have pissed off lebanon, syria, and palestine directly and just about everyone else indirectly.

This is all leading to my point about the upcoming war against iran. I have heard that the eisenhower and stennis battle groups are both in the region. You can read for yourself on their website. Retired air force colonel Sam Gardiner recently said, that if you hear that the nimitz battle group is being deployed to the region then he is 100% certain the U.S. will attack iran in the next few weeks. Surprise surprise I can’t get to the nimitz homepage. Colonel gardiner’s reasoning on this stems from the fact that you don’t send 3 carrier battle groups to one region because that uses up too much of your overall capabilities. He goes on to say that another indicator of a war with iran would be the deployment of the new airforce F22 raptor out of langley, virginia.

This is all mildly interesting but the part I find particularly hilarious or malicious however you tend to view things is that the U.S. is doing all of this and no one in the U.S. seems to mind much.

Go look at google maps of the middle east. Amerika took out iran’s sworn enemy to the east, the taliban. Then it took out iran’s biggest enemy to the west, saddam and installed a friendly shia government where no shia power had existed. It seems like we did everything possible to make iran look powerful in the region.

In doing these things the U.S. really pissed off the sunni arab countries like saudia arabia, egypt, jordan, and the gulf states (kuwait, bahrain, oman, yemen, qatar and the U.A.E.) not to mention israel. Why does this make sunni’s mad well for instance Saudia Arabia has a significant population of shia’s who live right on their oil fields in the east along the gulf. All they would have to do is break away and join the shia’s in iraq and bam saudia arabia is a desert with no energy exports. This scenario is played out in most countries in the middle east. Think lebanon with shia (hezbollah) probably the majority of muslims and the sunni the second largest faction of muslims there.

I have to run but in closing I just have to say that if you are placing your bets on amerika then you better hope they crush iran and divide up saudi arabia or else the neo-cons little plan to control india and china’s growth will end up bankrupting the U.S. and you might want to practice eating dirt for two meals a day because they don’t let you have lunch in the sweatshops.

Go read my portland bike blog about my recent rip out of the country.